Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 28.415371 32.292403 36.525303 41.493189 47.168552 53.455254 60.954760
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.993950 29.311308 35.563207 43.470026 53.223888 64.889079 79.939383
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 20.793607 27.116692 35.067442 45.832236 60.080796 78.369474 103.746821
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 17.874465 24.772885 34.008534 47.340247 66.200160 92.087491 130.595315
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.973861 23.456274 34.090071 50.410847 75.024883 111.073919 168.449298
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.926353 21.587535 33.103137 51.830650 81.841109 128.594631 207.989780
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.794551 19.228733 31.003414 51.221052 85.525641 142.187124 244.530402
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.185892 17.417981 29.455386 51.222089 90.231806 158.388708 289.055610
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.249265 16.563982 29.339151 53.634528 99.569083 184.377479 356.821385
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.525572 15.957595 29.550388 56.686474 110.714539 215.951881 442.573963
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.654688 14.931010 28.826029 57.860102 118.556089 242.928446 525.787721
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.685121 13.549125 27.193924 56.946296 122.053194 261.979790 597.069752
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.770996 12.149715 25.346392 55.371700 124.153385 279.233432 670.473973
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.129086 11.208175 24.287720 55.319934 129.699117 305.564064 772.887634
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.645484 10.526623 23.673760 56.173404 137.612746 339.414079 903.967841
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.175354 9.793594 22.819276 56.307563 143.881945 370.901655 1038.390211
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.893620 9.452586 22.818788 58.561455 156.128454 420.832785 1239.352019
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.545967 8.890318 22.186612 59.082493 163.956794 461.012746 1424.639529
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.138952 8.107624 20.866072 57.507128 165.657579 484.574798 1566.661415
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.826475 7.515744 19.934515 56.822299 169.812072 516.491630 1746.284075
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.664666 7.300073 19.972532 58.945398 182.988075 579.583990 2053.176651
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.543625 7.176324 20.244761 61.842290 199.374312 657.504216 2440.432326
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.363688 6.853108 19.891959 62.748379 209.574913 717.836537 2784.018071